Source: about 67 new public original posts (no retweets, no replies) from 18 of the 26 followed accounts, posted roughly 6:04 AM to 4:42 PM ET Saturday. Quiet today: @poteto, @ArtificialAnlys, @MrTinvests, @thestockwhale, @RoyLMattox, @GavinSBaker, @EMostaque, @ChrisCamillo. Heaviest posters: @TheLongInvest (10), @pequityresearch (9 incl. 1 duplicate), @kimmonismus (7), @Mr_Derivatives (7 incl. 1 duplicate), @KobeissiLetter (6). Every stance, level, and number below is the author's opinion or claim. None of it has been verified.
Overall: Mixed, leaning constructive on 'buy the damage' after Thursday's rout, with volatility and capacity-policy risk still the counterweight, in the authors' telling. Bull side: @ParadisLabs said investors are positioned as if Tech were reporting negative Q3 earnings growth vs about 53% aggregate growth (his figures) and called it "probably a good spot" to start rebuilding longer-term positions; @ren_stocks said tech trades at about 17x forward vs 18x for the S&P, below its 10- and 30-year medians (his figures); @babyfolio said quality AI names are getting dragged down with the sector; @TheProfInvestor said to use the weekend to study which stocks held weekly support. Caution: @Mr_Derivatives said the $VIX had its highest weekly close since the March 23 week, though he also floated a seasonal "VIX crush" starting as soon as next week; @KobeissiLetter said Thursday set a record 11.23M CBOE put contracts (his figures).
For James's themes: Memory got a defense: @aleabitoreddit quoted industry commentary that $MU strategic customer agreements "cannot be unilaterally canceled," and both @jukan05 and @aleabitoreddit pushed back on the TSMC-enters-DRAM story (Tom's Hardware, as he posted, says a TSMC spokesperson denied exploring 3D DRAM). @pequityresearch kept a caveat that LTA terms "look good on paper" but the upcycle is what matters now. Neoclouds: @aleabitoreddit gave a contrarian bull case for $NBIS after the valuation crash; @Mr_Derivatives relayed Citrini saying cover $NBIS and short $IREN; NBIS and CRWV report next week, per @Mr_Derivatives. Power and policy split: @kimmonismus called data-center water and electricity-price blame "myths," but also said US political resistance is delaying model releases; Goldman via @pequityresearch said states with potential restrictions hold about 45% of planned US capacity (Texas about 25%), and UBS about 30% of added capacity through 2028 could be affected (as posted). AMZN: an expert note via @pequityresearch put AWS incremental AI capacity at 55% Trainium vs 45% NVIDIA GPUs (as posted). Optics: BofA via @pequityresearch said a DSP shortage may cap 1.6T transceiver shipments at 60-70M vs 90-100M demand in 2027 (as posted), relevant to CRDO's area though CRDO wasn't named. SpaceX: @ParadisLabs relayed FundaAI's bull case of about 1 GW of SpaceX compute in space by end-2028. For James's own context (not from X): Fri 11/6 confirmed weekly exits TSM 375.29 < 390 and ASML 1424.75 < 1500; QQQ 656.18 still < 700 (buys paused). Markets are closed for the weekend.
Most bullish (at least 2 mentions): MU (net +0.67: LTA durability, TSMC-DRAM denial, ren tag), NBIS (+0.6: Serenity contrarian bull, Citrini cover, ren tag, vs neutral earnings and revenue-per-MW notes), SPCX (+1.0), AI capability and usage notes (+0.5), and QQQ/broad tape (+0.29 on valuation and positioning).
Most bearish (at least 2 mentions): Nothing net bearish today. Closest: NVDA mixed (+0.11; the H200 China-buyer NYT story via @NoLimitGains at half weight and the AWS Trainium-share note vs ren and BofA demand tags) and data-center policy only narrowly positive (+0.2; Goldman/UBS restriction estimates and kimmonismus on political resistance vs his own water and power myth-busting posts). On the tape, the VIX weekly close and record put volume were the bearish side.
Changes vs. Nov 7 morning report: Tone moved from defend-the-lines caution to valuation and 'study the damage' talk. NBIS swung back from mixed to leaning bullish as Citrini reportedly covered its NBIS short. MU turned clearly bullish on the LTA and TSMC-denial pushback. New: Goldman/UBS capacity-restriction estimates, AWS Trainium share, BofA DSP shortage, VIX weekly-close and record put volume. @TheProfInvestor posted that Serenity (@aleabitoreddit) is in an 85% drawdown while @aleabitoreddit's own post claims +594.4% YTD; neither is verified. Still no mentions of DDOG, CRWD, ASML, CRDO, AMD, or INTC.
Method: Same as prior reports. Original posts only (no retweets or replies). I matched cashtags and clear company names in every new post, then judged each author's stance per ticker as bullish, bearish or neutral from the visible text. Net score = (bullish − bearish) ÷ total, from −1 to +1. Promo-heavy accounts (@thestockwhale, @NoLimitGains) count at half weight, near-duplicate posts are dropped (kept the later of each @aleabitoreddit TSM-DRAM, @Mr_Derivatives Citrini, @pequityresearch LTA and @ren_stocks tech-valuation pair), and pure politics, lifestyle, motivational, workshop/podcast promos, and AI-model posts without a market angle are skipped. SPCX is now listed under James's holdings.
7 mentions from 6 accounts · bullish 4 / bearish 2 / neutral 1 · net +0.29 (bullish, authors' opinions)
Leaning bullish on valuation and positioning, with volatility as the bear case. Bull: @ParadisLabs said positioning implies negative Tech Q3 earnings growth vs about 53% actual aggregate growth and called it a spot to start rebuilding longer-term positions; @ren_stocks said tech is at about 17x forward vs 18x for the S&P, below its 10- and 30-year medians; @babyfolio on quality AI names dragged down with the sector; @Mr_Derivatives floated a seasonal VIX crush starting as soon as next week. Bear: @Mr_Derivatives said the VIX had its highest weekly close since the March 23 week; @KobeissiLetter on record put volume Thursday. Neutral: @TheProfInvestor said to study which stocks held major weekly support and refused new lows with the Nasdaq.
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2 mentions from 2 accounts · bullish 1 / bearish 0 / neutral 1 · net +0.50 (bullish, authors' opinions)
Constructive on custom silicon. An expert-call note via @pequityresearch said AWS incremental AI capacity is 55% Trainium vs 45% NVIDIA GPUs, and projected 7.3 GW net-add capacity splits about 60/40 Trainium/NVIDIA physically (as posted). @Mr_Derivatives' YTD list had $AMZN at +14.48% (neutral).
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2 mentions from 2 accounts · bullish 0 / bearish 0 / neutral 2 · net +0.0 (mixed, authors' opinions)
No stance posts. @Mr_Derivatives' YTD list had $MSFT at +12.19%; @kimmonismus posted an interview with Microsoft's EVP of CoreAI Jay Parikh on Copilot Fusion and AI code review.
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1 mentions from 1 accounts · bullish 0 / bearish 0 / neutral 1 · net +0.0 (mixed, authors' opinions)
One neutral data mention: @Mr_Derivatives' YTD list had $GOOGL at −9.64%, and he said Mag 7 dispersion is the widest since 2018.
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5 mentions from 4 accounts · bullish 2 / bearish 1.5 / neutral 1 · net +0.11 (mixed, authors' opinions)
Mixed. Bull: @ren_stocks tagged $NVDA with the cheap-tech-valuation post; BofA via @pequityresearch on 800G/1.6T demand of 90-100M units each in 2027 tagged $NVDA. Bear: @NoLimitGains (half weight) relayed a New York Times investigation that some of about 24 Chinese companies approved for H200 purchases had empty offices or ties to a blacklisted firm; the AWS expert note via @pequityresearch put NVIDIA at 45% of AWS incremental AI capacity vs 55% Trainium. Neutral: @Mr_Derivatives had $NVDA at −1.17% YTD.
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No mentions today.
6 mentions from 4 accounts · bullish 4 / bearish 0 / neutral 2 · net +0.67 (bullish, authors' opinions)
Bullish defense of the memory cycle. @aleabitoreddit quoted industry commentary that $MU strategic customer agreements "cannot be unilaterally canceled" and customers must pay for committed volumes; @jukan05 said TSMC's memory project isn't commodity DRAM, so the 'TSMC disrupts the big three' claim doesn't make sense; @aleabitoreddit then relayed Tom's Hardware that a TSMC spokesperson denied exploring 3D DRAM; @ren_stocks tagged $MU on the valuation post. Neutral: @pequityresearch said LTA conditions "look good on paper" but what matters now is the upcycle, and shared a J.P. Morgan server-memory revenue-mix chart.
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2 mentions from 2 accounts · bullish 0 / bearish 0 / neutral 2 · net +0.0 (mixed, authors' opinions)
Neutral, news-driven. @aleabitoreddit relayed Tom's Hardware that a TSMC spokesperson denied exploring 3D DRAM, after The Information reported production plans tied to an NVIDIA request; @jukan05 said TSMC's 5-year-plus memory project isn't commodity DRAM.
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No mentions today.
No mentions today.
1 mentions from 1 accounts · bullish 1 / bearish 0 / neutral 0 · net +1.0 (bullish, authors' opinions)
One bullish tag: @ren_stocks included $BE in the tech-below-S&P-valuation post. Adjacent power theme: @kimmonismus argued national price data don't support data centers as the blanket cause of rising US power prices (not a BE call).
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5 mentions from 4 accounts · bullish 3 / bearish 0 / neutral 2 · net +0.60 (bullish, authors' opinions)
Leaning bullish into earnings next week. Bull: @aleabitoreddit gave a contrarian take that neoclouds like $NBIS look compelling after the valuation crash, citing SpaceX's focus on the market; @Mr_Derivatives relayed that Citrini Research says to cover $NBIS now and begin shorting $IREN; @ren_stocks tagged $NBIS on the valuation post. Neutral: @Mr_Derivatives said all eyes are on $CRWV and $NBIS earnings next week; Bernstein via @pequityresearch shared annualized revenue per MW for 2Q26 across $CRWV $NBIS $IREN (chart only).
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2 mentions from 2 accounts · bullish 2 / bearish 0 / neutral 0 · net +1.0 (bullish, authors' opinions)
Bullish. @ParadisLabs relayed FundaAI's bull case of about 1 GW of SpaceX compute in space by end-2028 and tagged $SPCX; @aleabitoreddit cited SpaceX's focus on the neocloud market as a reason the economics look attractive.
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No mentions in the new posts.
Not named. Adjacent: BofA via @pequityresearch said a DSP shortage may limit 1.6T transceiver shipments to 60-70M units vs 90-100M demand in 2027 (as posted); DSPs are part of CRDO's market, so this is context, not a CRDO call.
1 mentions from 1 accounts · bullish 1 / bearish 0 / neutral 0 · net +1.0 (bullish, authors' opinions)
Constructive on component demand. BofA via @pequityresearch on the DSP-constrained 1.6T transceiver market; Nomura via @pequityresearch on substrate supply rising from 1.4M to 3.55M units from 2026 to 2028 (as posted, not scored). Memory covered under MU.
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No mentions today.
5 mentions from 3 accounts · bullish 3 / bearish 2 / neutral 0 · net +0.20 (bullish, authors' opinions)
Split. Bull: @kimmonismus said the water-drain claim is false (about 19-23B gallons on site in 2024, about 4% of golf-course use, his figures citing Han et al.) and the power-price claim isn't supported by national data; @ChrisGPT against banning the technology. Bear: Goldman via @pequityresearch said states with potential restrictions hold about 45% of planned US capacity (Texas about 25%) and UBS about 30% of added capacity through 2028 could be affected; @kimmonismus said US political resistance is a significant factor in model-release delays.
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4 mentions from 3 accounts · bullish 2 / bearish 0 / neutral 2 · net +0.50 (bullish, authors' opinions)
Leaning bullish. @aleabitoreddit contrarian bull after the valuation crash; Citrini via @Mr_Derivatives cover NBIS / short IREN (bullish NBIS, bearish IREN); neutral Bernstein revenue-per-MW chart and earnings-week note.
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4 mentions from 2 accounts · bullish 3 / bearish 1 / neutral 0 · net +0.50 (bullish, authors' opinions)
Mostly bullish usage notes. @kimmonismus said his Codex use is 700M-1.8B tokens per day and the $200 plan no longer suffices; @ChrisGPT said we are a month ahead of AI 2027 and expects GPT 6.2-level intelligence at 1,000 tokens/sec next year (his forecasts). Bear: @kimmonismus on a judge letting Claude Max usage-promise claims proceed.
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1 mentions from 1 accounts · bullish 1 / bearish 0 / neutral 0 · net +1.0 (bullish, authors' opinions)
Bullish demand, supply-limited: BofA via @pequityresearch on 90-100M units each of 800G and 1.6T demand in 2027 with a DSP shortage capping 1.6T at 60-70M (as posted).
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1 mentions from 1 accounts · bullish 0 / bearish 1 / neutral 0 · net -1.0 (bearish, authors' opinions)
Bearish warning: @great_martis said a breach below $75k would be "curtains" (his level).
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