Digest summary

This morning’s X is mixed: the accounts read the broad market as constructive, but the overnight NVDA news is negative. There were about 70 new posts from 18 accounts since last evening, and every view and number below is the author’s, not verified.

• Constructive: @TheProfInvestor calls QQQ’s action a “failed breakdown”, and @Mr_Derivatives says the VIX fell faster than he expected. @KobeissiLetter says oil dropped below $85, about 19% off its Oct 30 high, after Trump suggested more Iran strikes aren’t needed. He also says the SOX semiconductor index went from overbought to oversold, sitting about 17% below its 200-day MA last Thursday.
• Cautious: @markminervini says over a third of S&P 500 stocks are down more than 20%, with many AI-infrastructure names down 50% or more. He lists MU at −41%.
• NVDA bears: @KobeissiLetter reports a shareholder class action against Nvidia and Jensen Huang over the spy-tie story. @jukan05 relays The Information saying Nvidia’s lobbying on remote-access chip rules now carries less weight, and that the White House reportedly asked Congress for a provision blocking remote access to certain chips. He also relays a Taiwanese media report that Nvidia may cut TSMC orders, with AMD and custom-chip makers possibly taking that capacity, and he says it’s unconfirmed.
• NVDA bulls: @pequityresearch relays Trump saying he believes Jensen, and @ren_stocks says he’d buy hard at $165.
• TSM: @jukan05 posts October revenue of NT$586.9B, up 14.7% from September and 59.7% from a year earlier, and @pequityresearch calls it a strong month. Your verified TSMC summary comes at 9 AM.
• Memory: Morgan Stanley, via @pequityresearch, says memory’s risk/reward looks very favorable even with land, power and building-shell risks.
• Power and neoclouds: @ren_stocks says the Senate voted 73–25 to advance the permitting bill. That was a procedural vote, with the final vote and the House still ahead, so it isn’t enacted. Under the bill, data centers would pay for their own grid upgrades in exchange for faster reviews. @babyfolio points to NBIS earnings on Nov 12, and @TheProfInvestor likes CRWV’s setup going into its report today.
• SpaceX: GFHK expects about 5 GW of space compute by 2028. @pequityresearch reacted with “Wow,” and @jukan05 is skeptical.
• AI software: Anthropic’s Fable 5.2 dominated the AI accounts. It’s first on Artificial Analysis’s 3D benchmark, and @babyfolio calls the lower Anthropic IPO valuation sensible.
• Macro: @KobeissiLetter says this week’s October CPI won’t include year-over-year numbers because of data missing from the October 2025 shutdown.

In the stock tally, NVDA was net −0.22 across 6 accounts, TSM +0.25, NBIS +1.0 and MU flat. AMD was +0.5 as a possible winner if TSMC wafers shift. ASML, DDOG, CRWD, BE and CRDO had no mentions.

---

Full stock sentiment report

Stock sentiment from James’s X feed: Tuesday, Nov 10, 2026 (morning)

Source: about 70 new public original posts (no replies or retweets; a duplicate and throwaway posts skipped) from 18 of the 26 followed accounts, roughly 4:50 PM Monday to 5:10 AM Tuesday ET. Every stance, level, and number is the author’s opinion or claim, unverified. Counts are approximate hand-tags. Quiet: @poteto, @MrTinvests, @Yuchenj_UW, @RoyLMattox, @GavinSBaker, @EMostaque, @zephyr_z9, @ChrisCamillo. Heaviest posters: @pequityresearch, @ChrisGPT, @jukan05, @KobeissiLetter.

Summary

Overall: mixed. Broad tone constructive overnight, but NVDA-specific news is negative. Constructive: @TheProfInvestor calls the QQQ action a “failed breakdown,” which he calls the most underrated setup; @Mr_Derivatives says the VIX drop came faster than he expected; @KobeissiLetter says US oil fell below $85, down about 19% from the Oct 30 high, after Trump suggested more Iran strikes aren’t needed; @KobeissiLetter says the SOX went from overbought to oversold, about 17% under its 200-day MA last Thursday. Cautious: @markminervini says over a third of S&P 500 stocks fell more than 20% and many AI-infrastructure names fell 50% or more (he cites MU down 41%). NVDA overnight: @KobeissiLetter reports a shareholder class action against Nvidia and Jensen Huang over the spy-tie story; @jukan05 relays The Information that Nvidia’s lobbying against remote-access chip rules now carries less weight and that the White House itself reportedly asked Congress for a provision blocking remote access to certain chips; @jukan05 also relays a Taiwanese media report that Nvidia may cut TSMC orders, with AMD and ASIC makers possibly picking up the wafers (he says he’s heard similar rumors but hasn’t confirmed them). Other themes: @jukan05 posts TSMC October revenue at NT$586.9B (+14.7% MoM, +59.7% YoY), and @pequityresearch calls it “good and strong.” Morgan Stanley (via @pequityresearch) says memory risk/reward looks very favorable even with land/power/shell risks. @ren_stocks says the Senate voted 73-25 to advance the permitting bill (procedural; final vote and House still to come), with data centers paying for their own grid upgrades in exchange for faster reviews. Anthropic’s Fable 5.2 keeps dominating the AI accounts. Macro: @KobeissiLetter says this week’s October CPI will not include year-over-year numbers because of missing October 2025 shutdown data.

James’s holdings

NVDA: about 11 mentions, 6 accounts, bullish 2 / bearish 4.5 / neutral 5, net -0.22

Bull case (as argued): @pequityresearch relays Trump saying he spoke with Jensen and “really believes him” that he didn’t know the woman was a spy; @ren_stocks says if NVDA reaches $165 he’d “remortgage my house just for a quick trade.” Bear case (as argued): shareholder class action over concealed ties (@KobeissiLetter); Nvidia’s lobbying against remote-access restrictions losing weight and the White House reportedly asking for a remote-access provision (@jukan05); rumored TSMC order cut (@jukan05, unconfirmed); @NoLimitGains (promo, half weight) says Google selling in-house AI chips to Apple, Meta and Oracle is a bigger threat than AMD. Neutral: @pequityresearch guesses any order cut might be tied to China-bound chips and notes demand for TSMC capacity would stay the same; hyperscaler CDS premiums rising (@pequityresearch); GF Securities says some customers are shifting optical-module buys to Nvidia-bundled solutions (@pequityresearch); @great_martis notes earnings next Tuesday. - @KobeissiLetter class action - @jukan05 lobbying weight - @jukan05 White House remote-access provision - @jukan05 TSMC order-cut rumor - @pequityresearch order-cut take - @pequityresearch Trump believes Jensen - @ren_stocks $165 quick trade - @NoLimitGains Google chips threat Levels (author claims): $165 as a buy level (@ren_stocks). James’s own context (not from X): after-close check had NVDA 178.57, still below its Sep 14 low and 200-day SMA. Earnings Nov 17.

TSM: 4 mentions, 2 accounts, bullish 1 / bearish 0 / neutral 3, net +0.25

October revenue NT$586.9B, +14.7% MoM, +59.7% YoY as posted by @jukan05; “good and strong October” (@pequityresearch). Neutral: the rumored Nvidia order cut, framed as capacity shifting to AMD and ASICs rather than lost; @jukan05 says Rapidus looks behind schedule. - @jukan05 October revenue - @pequityresearch strong October - @jukan05 Rapidus behind James’s own context (not from X): the TSMC October revenue summary runs at 9 AM today; TSM 388.52 at Monday’s check, still below the 390 weekly exit.

MU / memory: 3 mentions, 3 accounts, bullish 1 / bearish 1 / neutral 1, net 0.0

Bull: Morgan Stanley says memory multiple compression offers compelling upside relative to land/power/shell risks (@pequityresearch). Bear: @markminervini lists MU down 41% among the damaged AI-infra names. Neutral: Samsung targeting its 3D Cube-H hybrid bonding by early next year (@jukan05). - @pequityresearch Morgan Stanley memory - @markminervini damage list

NBIS: 2 mentions, 2 accounts, bullish 2, net +1.0

@ren_stocks frames the Senate permitting vote as an NBIS positive; @babyfolio says he bullposted NBIS at the lows and points to earnings on Nov 12. Peer: @TheProfInvestor calls CRWV attractive after heavy selling, with earnings today as a possible catalyst (no position, doesn’t play earnings). - @ren_stocks permitting bill - @babyfolio earnings Nov 12 - @TheProfInvestor CRWV setup

AMD: 2 mentions, 2 accounts, bullish 1 / neutral 1, net +0.5

Possible beneficiary if Nvidia cuts TSMC orders (@jukan05; @pequityresearch neutral on it).

SpaceX (SPCX): 3 mentions, 2 accounts, bullish 1 / neutral 2, net +0.33

GFHK expects about 5 GW of space compute by 2028 via about 10k racks: @pequityresearch says “Wow,” @jukan05 is skeptical (“5 GW of data center capacity in space?? By 2028?”). Also on the hyperscaler CDS list. - @pequityresearch 5 GW space compute - @jukan05 skeptical

GOOGL: 3 mentions, 3 accounts, bullish 2 / neutral 1, net +0.6

Google selling in-house AI chips (@NoLimitGains, promo half weight); @kimmonismus expects Gemini 4 Carbon general availability; CDS list. post

AMZN / MSFT: 2 mentions each, neutral

Hyperscaler CDS premiums rising (@pequityresearch CDS); Menlo Ventures estimates Anthropic and OpenAI are 25%+ of AWS, Azure and Google Cloud revenue (@pequityresearch Menlo).

QQQ / broad market: about 9 mentions, 6 accounts, bullish 2 / bearish 1 / neutral 4.5, net +0.13

Bull: failed breakdown (@TheProfInvestor); VIX smash (@Mr_Derivatives). Bear: breadth damage (@markminervini). Neutral: SOX oversold vs 200-day (@KobeissiLetter); record US equity fund inflows (@KobeissiLetter); @great_martis market update; @thestockwhale promo (half weight). - @TheProfInvestor failed breakdown - @KobeissiLetter SOX oversold - @Mr_Derivatives VIX smash James’s own context (not from X): Monday’s check had QQQ 678.77, below 700 and the weekly 21 EMA of 704.49, so buys stay paused.

INTC: 2 mentions, bearish 1 / neutral 1 (@markminervini down 58%; @pequityresearch video recommendation).

ASML, DDOG, CRWD, BE, CRDO: no new mentions.

BE theme: the permitting bill (@ren_stocks) touches data-center power and grid upgrades.

Other tickers and themes

Anthropic / AI software (about 15 mentions): Fable 5.2 #1 on AA-3D at 1271 Elo (@ArtificialAnlys AA-3D) and leads VIALS-AA; @ChrisGPT says it was the third-biggest jump on the ECI frontier; @kimmonismus calls it the best model he’s used but rate-limit hungry, and says Anthropic has a better internal model; @babyfolio calls a lower Anthropic valuation sensible (“$2T was a stretch”) and expects retail to pay a premium on the IPO; @kimmonismus hopes OpenAI answers today.

Optics: @aleabitoreddit posts CW laser ASPs from Source Photonics channel checks (about $3-4 at 70mW up to $15-20 for 120-150mW NPO) (@aleabitoreddit laser ASPs).

NET: @TheProfInvestor’s top swing idea. HIMS: @TheLongInvest and @babyfolio like its latest move. TTD: up 30% after hours then red (@Mr_Derivatives).

Risk management: @ParadisLabs says semis look attractive but urges less concentration.

Macro: Iran “positive momentum” and oil below $85 (@KobeissiLetter); record consumer credit of $5.19T (@KobeissiLetter); CPI without YoY numbers (@KobeissiLetter); Warren’s 10% credit-card cap push (@NoLimitGains); KOSPI +4.8% and bond vigilantes (@great_martis).

Method

Original posts since the 4:50 PM report; net = (bull - bear) / total; promo accounts (@thestockwhale, @NoLimitGains) half weight; duplicate posts counted once.

Monday’s rally is fading premarket after a hot CPI print, and no holding changed category. October CPI rose 0.4% for the month against 0.3% expected, and core rose 0.3% against 0.2% (CoinDesk). Before the release, Fed Governor Waller said a December hike looks likely and didn’t rule out 50 basis points, which had already pushed yields up (Quartz). The one supportive item is oil, down more than 2%.

New buys stay paused. QQQ closed at 679.35, just under its 200-day SMA of 681.17, and is 671.37 premarket (−1.2%). Its last weekly close of 656.10 is below the weekly 21 EMA of 704.49, and Monday’s close was still below the 700 floor.

Monday’s biggest bouncers are giving it back premarket. BE is 184 (−5.1%), MRVL 147 (−4.8%), INTC 57.12 (−3.8%), NBIS 136 (−3.7%), CRDO 128 (−3.7%), SPCX 137.6 (−3.1%) and SMH 475.5 (−2.4%). All of them except SPCX are still below their 200-day SMAs, and SPCX doesn’t have enough history for one yet.

• AMZN is still the only holding in a healthy trend. It closed at 266.93, above all your indicators, and is 265.88 premarket.
• CRWD closed at 228.58, below its daily MAs but above its weekly 21 EMA of 216.21. It’s 223.66 premarket.
• SPCX closed at 142.07, just under its daily 21 EMA of 143.15 and weekly 21 EMA of 144.49. It’s 137.62 premarket, back below its daily 9 EMA of 138.23.
• NVDA fell 4.3% Monday to 178.67 on 3.9 times average volume, a heavy down-volume day. RSI is 27.4, it’s below its 200-day SMA of 204.63, and it’s 175.90 premarket (−1.6%). The board’s probe of Jensen Huang is still the story.
• TSM closed at 388.62, just under the 390 weekly exit, which Friday’s weekly close already confirmed. It’s above the Jul 29 low of 372.72 and is 386.20 premarket. The TSMC October revenue summary comes at 9 AM.
• ASML closed at 1513.25, above 1500 on the daily, but it’s 1492.35 premarket. The weekly exit was confirmed Friday, and only this Friday’s weekly close can reclaim it.
• AMD closed at 508.58, above its weekly 21 EMA of 501.32, but it’s 496.12 premarket, which would put it back under that level.
• MU is 711 premarket (−3%), below its 200-day SMA of 758.39.

CoreWeave reports after tonight’s close, which will be a read-through for NBIS on Thursday. The levels dashboard is updated through Monday’s close.